Seth Masket2 days ago4 minFor Democrats, There Is No Margin Big Enough To Sleep Well2016 was traumatizing for many Democrats, who won't trust a polling lead again for years to come
The Staff3 days ago5 minOn Sunday, Bolivian Democracy Took a Big Step Toward StabilitySunday's election signals that Bolivia’s democracy has pulled back from the brink. Responsible elites on right and left share the credit.
The Staff3 days ago5 minThe Comedic Stylings of Donald J. TrumpOne of the remarkable aspects of Trump’s rhetorical style is that he thinks he’s funny. What explains Trump’s attempt at humor?
Jennifer N. Victor4 days ago8 minBut really, why should you believe in elections?When elections are administered fairly, we agree to accept their outcomes out of a sense of faith, determination, and social contract.
The Staff6 days ago6 minCan this New Yorker Become Pennsylvania's Next U.S. Senator?Donald Trump, Jr., could run for Pennsylvania's Senate seat. Here's what his carpetbagger campaign might look like.
Julia AzariOct 164 minHave the last four years disrupted politics? Yes and no. Norms, normal, norm-breaking. These have been the buzzwords of the Trump era, describing the ways in which an unlikely presidential candi...
Seth MasketOct 134 minBlack Lives Matter Protests and the Slow Boring of Hard BoardsA panel of scholars assesses what the Black Lives Matter movement has achieved during a summer like no other.
Matthew GreenOct 134 minWill 2020 be a “wave” election?Predictive models indicate that Democrats will do well in November -- but that doesn’t mean an election “wave” is coming.
The StaffOct 94 minIn 2020, the Ground Game is All TrumpDemocrats usually have more field offices than Republicans. That's been completely reversed in 2020, thanks to Covid.
The StaffOct 55 minWhat We Learned from Studying Yard SignsThink yard signs don't affect politics? Think again.
Jennifer N. VictorSep 283 minWhat to expect in the first presidential debate of 2020: fireworksThe first debate of 2020 general election will occur Tuesday, September 29 and it is likely that millions of Americans will tune-in to wa...
Seth MasketSep 214 minFour things that could still affect the presidential race but probably won'tCould the economy, a vaccine, debates, or a SCOTUS nomination change the race? Maybe, but don't count on it.
Matthew GreenSep 174 minThe Freedom Caucus won't remove Speaker Pelosi. But the attempt could still be significant.The plan underscores the Caucus' support for Trump – and how a recent rule change may make the Speakership more partisan.
Gregory KogerSep 144 minNo, Ben Sasse, repealing the 17th Amendment would not improve the U.S. SenateWendy J. Schiller Charles Stewart III The prevailing wisdom among opponents of the 17th Amendment, who range from Senator Mike Lee (R-UT)...
Matthew GreenSep 104 minWant to take a shot at running for president? Try playing this board game.1960: The Making of the President teaches some timeless lessons about modern campaign tactics and strategy.
The StaffAug 269 minThe Impact of the 19th AmendmentWomen's suffrage wasn't everything its detractors warned or its proponents promised, but it has had profound effects on the past century.
Seth MasketAug 244 minThe Party AbidesThe Republican Party concedes that reelecting Trump is not just its chief goal, but its only goal
Julia AzariAug 125 minHarris is the veep pick. What does it tell us about party politics? by Julia Azari and William D. Adler (cross-posted at ahousedividedapd.com) After one of the longest and most visible Veepstakes periods i...
Seth MasketJul 304 minDo Really, Really Bad GDP Numbers Mean a Really, Really Bad November for Trump? Well...The economy shrank by 9.5 points in the 2nd quarter. That's really bad, but can we forecast the vote from it?
Seth MasketJul 283 minThe Awkward Coalition of Democrats and Lincoln Project ConservativesCoalitions are inherently unwieldy, ugly, unstable, and unsatisfying. They're also effective.
