Seth MasketAug 24, 20204 minThe Party AbidesThe Republican Party concedes that reelecting Trump is not just its chief goal, but its only goal
Seth MasketJul 30, 20204 minDo Really, Really Bad GDP Numbers Mean a Really, Really Bad November for Trump? Well...The economy shrank by 9.5 points in the 2nd quarter. That's really bad, but can we forecast the vote from it?
Seth MasketJul 28, 20203 minThe Awkward Coalition of Democrats and Lincoln Project ConservativesCoalitions are inherently unwieldy, ugly, unstable, and unsatisfying. They're also effective.
Seth MasketJul 20, 20204 minTwo Things the Trump Team is Sort of Getting RightThe Trump campaign is playing a bad hand reasonably well.
Seth MasketJul 7, 20203 minThe Supreme Court reminded us that the Electoral College doesn't deliberateThe Court's decision makes clear that the Electoral College doesn't deliberate - it exists to give some states a representational advantage
Seth MasketJul 1, 20203 minSurprise, the better-known candidate with more money and party backing won despite gaffesHickenlooper had the edge on the fundamentals, but Romanoff was the better campaigner. Guess which mattered more.
The StaffJun 23, 20205 minBiden’s VP Selection is Unlikely to Have Much of an Effect on the Dynamics of the RaceShould Joe Biden choose Kamala Harris or Elizabeth Warren as his VP? New polling suggests neither has a strong effect on voters' choices.
Seth MasketJun 4, 20204 minIn Defense of (Good) Photo OpsA good photo op has important symbolic value and can be empowering. Trump's Bible stunt was pretty much the opposite.
Seth MasketMay 18, 20205 minParties pick Vice Presidents, and they're not bad at itThe VP nominee process looks a lot like the one party reformers have been pushing for the presidency
Matthew GreenMay 5, 20205 minIs the Coronavirus a Threat to American Democracy? Despite some alarmist headlines, there’s good reason to think American democracy will survive the pandemic.
The StaffMay 1, 202010 minThe Extremely Visible Primary for the Vice Presidential Nomination Azari and Masket look at an unusually public campaign for the vice presidential slot and what that tells us about parties.
Seth MasketApr 22, 20204 minIt's about the fundamentals, whatever those will beWe can be confident voters will hold Trump accountable for the fundamentals. We just don't know what those fundamentals are yet.
Matthew GreenMar 6, 20204 minWill the coronavirus affect this year’s presidential election?Three ways that the coronavirus epidemic could have electoral consequences.
Hans NoelMar 4, 20203 minIs the Party Deciding?After Joe Biden won the South Carolina primary, a lot of power players in the Democratic Party have come to his aid. Rivals Pete...
Hans NoelFeb 6, 202014 minThe Iowa Caucuses look crazy from a distance, but you should see them up close...This year, I took a group of Georgetown's best students to Iowa to see the nation's first caucuses unfold. (I'm taking groups to New...
Hans NoelDec 19, 20192 minImpeachment fits Trump's populist strategy perfectly.Donald Trump’s electoral appeal is populist. It is populist in the specific sense in which Cas Mudde and Cristobal Rovira Kaltwasser...
The StaffDec 3, 20194 minNot all Democratic primary voters are as “woke” as your Twitter feedMany engaged Democrats debate the merits of the large field of presidential candidates on social media, and this conversation can...
Seth MasketNov 25, 20192 minApproval ratings and vote sharesUsing approval ratings to predict vote shares finds that the odds are difficult for Trump's reelection, but not prohibitive.
Gregory KogerOct 29, 20195 minGender, Scandal, and Exit--Katie Hill's Retirement in Perspective The Hill resignation is not an isolated incident. Chasing female legislators from Congress based on their husband's behavior is a tradition.
Seth MasketSep 30, 20192 minPresident Pence's First and Worst ChoicePresident Mike Pence's first decision in office could easily cost him his job no matter which way he decided.
