The Party Abides
The Republican Party concedes that reelecting Trump is not just its chief goal, but its only goal
MISCHIEFS OF FACTION
Reflections on Parties and Their Place in Politics
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Do Really, Really Bad GDP Numbers Mean a Really, Really Bad November for Trump? Well...
The economy shrank by 9.5 points in the 2nd quarter. That's really bad, but can we forecast the vote from it?
The Awkward Coalition of Democrats and Lincoln Project Conservatives
Coalitions are inherently unwieldy, ugly, unstable, and unsatisfying. They're also effective.
Two Things the Trump Team is Sort of Getting Right
The Trump campaign is playing a bad hand reasonably well.
The Supreme Court reminded us that the Electoral College doesn't deliberate
The Court's decision makes clear that the Electoral College doesn't deliberate - it exists to give some states a representational advantage
Surprise, the better-known candidate with more money and party backing won despite gaffes
Hickenlooper had the edge on the fundamentals, but Romanoff was the better campaigner. Guess which mattered more.
Biden’s VP Selection is Unlikely to Have Much of an Effect on the Dynamics of the Race
Should Joe Biden choose Kamala Harris or Elizabeth Warren as his VP? New polling suggests neither has a strong effect on voters' choices.
In Defense of (Good) Photo Ops
A good photo op has important symbolic value and can be empowering. Trump's Bible stunt was pretty much the opposite.
Parties pick Vice Presidents, and they're not bad at it
The VP nominee process looks a lot like the one party reformers have been pushing for the presidency
Is the Coronavirus a Threat to American Democracy?
Despite some alarmist headlines, there’s good reason to think American democracy will survive the pandemic.
The Extremely Visible Primary for the Vice Presidential Nomination
Azari and Masket look at an unusually public campaign for the vice presidential slot and what that tells us about parties.
It's about the fundamentals, whatever those will be
We can be confident voters will hold Trump accountable for the fundamentals. We just don't know what those fundamentals are yet.
Will the coronavirus affect this year’s presidential election?
Three ways that the coronavirus epidemic could have electoral consequences.
Is the Party Deciding?
After Joe Biden won the South Carolina primary, a lot of power players in the Democratic Party have come to his aid. Rivals Pete...
The Iowa Caucuses look crazy from a distance, but you should see them up close...
This year, I took a group of Georgetown's best students to Iowa to see the nation's first caucuses unfold. (I'm taking groups to New...
Impeachment fits Trump's populist strategy perfectly.
Donald Trump’s electoral appeal is populist. It is populist in the specific sense in which Cas Mudde and Cristobal Rovira Kaltwasser...
Not all Democratic primary voters are as “woke” as your Twitter feed
Many engaged Democrats debate the merits of the large field of presidential candidates on social media, and this conversation can...
Approval ratings and vote shares
Using approval ratings to predict vote shares finds that the odds are difficult for Trump's reelection, but not prohibitive.
Gender, Scandal, and Exit--Katie Hill's Retirement in Perspective
The Hill resignation is not an isolated incident. Chasing female legislators from Congress based on their husband's behavior is a tradition.
President Pence's First and Worst Choice
President Mike Pence's first decision in office could easily cost him his job no matter which way he decided.