The Staff
Was There Partisan Bias in the Local Administration of the 2020 Elections?
An experiment found election officials were usually unbiased, but some Republican officials provided more information to Republican voters.
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MISCHIEFS OF FACTION
Reflections on Parties and Their Place in Politics
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The Staff
- Nov 2, 2020
- 6 min
A Global Perspective on Predicting the 2020 Election
By Stefan Wojcik, Ryan Kennedy, and David Lazer The US has never had an election like this before--but other countries have. Comparative...
Seth Masket
- Oct 29, 2020
- 3 min
The View "on the Ground"
Stories of what's happening "on the ground" are very useful at telling us what we want to hear.
The Staff
- Oct 27, 2020
- 4 min
Four out of Five Electoral Experts are Concerned about a Peaceful Transfer of Power
Experts see a high likelihood of unrest following the election, based on the Comparative Assessment of Electoral Risks (CAER).
The Staff
- Oct 27, 2020
- 11 min
Candidates, Campaigns, and Fundamentals in 2020
Julia Azari and Seth Masket discuss what 2020 has taught us about candidates, campaigns, and fundamentals.
Seth Masket
- Oct 23, 2020
- 4 min
For Democrats, There Is No Margin Big Enough To Sleep Well
2016 was traumatizing for many Democrats, who won't trust a polling lead again for years to come
The Staff
- Oct 22, 2020
- 5 min
On Sunday, Bolivian Democracy Took a Big Step Toward Stability
Sunday's election signals that Bolivia’s democracy has pulled back from the brink. Responsible elites on right and left share the credit.
The Staff
- Oct 22, 2020
- 5 min
The Comedic Stylings of Donald J. Trump
One of the remarkable aspects of Trump’s rhetorical style is that he thinks he’s funny. What explains Trump’s attempt at humor?
Jennifer N. Victor
- Oct 21, 2020
- 8 min
But really, why should you believe in elections?
When elections are administered fairly, we agree to accept their outcomes out of a sense of faith, determination, and social contract.
The Staff
- Oct 19, 2020
- 6 min
Can this New Yorker Become Pennsylvania's Next U.S. Senator?
Donald Trump, Jr., could run for Pennsylvania's Senate seat. Here's what his carpetbagger campaign might look like.
Julia Azari
- Oct 16, 2020
- 4 min
Have the last four years disrupted politics? Yes and no.
Norms, normal, norm-breaking. These have been the buzzwords of the Trump era, describing the ways in which an unlikely presidential...
Seth Masket
- Oct 13, 2020
- 4 min
Black Lives Matter Protests and the Slow Boring of Hard Boards
A panel of scholars assesses what the Black Lives Matter movement has achieved during a summer like no other.
Matthew Green
- Oct 13, 2020
- 4 min
Will 2020 be a “wave” election?
Predictive models indicate that Democrats will do well in November -- but that doesn’t mean an election “wave” is coming.
The Staff
- Oct 9, 2020
- 4 min
In 2020, the Ground Game is All Trump
Democrats usually have more field offices than Republicans. That's been completely reversed in 2020, thanks to Covid.
The Staff
- Oct 5, 2020
- 5 min
What We Learned from Studying Yard Signs
Think yard signs don't affect politics? Think again.
Jennifer N. Victor
- Sep 28, 2020
- 3 min
What to expect in the first presidential debate of 2020: fireworks
The first debate of 2020 general election will occur Tuesday, September 29 and it is likely that millions of Americans will tune-in to...
Seth Masket
- Sep 21, 2020
- 4 min
Four things that could still affect the presidential race but probably won't
Could the economy, a vaccine, debates, or a SCOTUS nomination change the race? Maybe, but don't count on it.
Matthew Green
- Sep 17, 2020
- 4 min
The Freedom Caucus won't remove Speaker Pelosi. But the attempt could still be significant.
The plan underscores the Caucus' support for Trump – and how a recent rule change may make the Speakership more partisan.
Gregory Koger
- Sep 14, 2020
- 4 min
No, Ben Sasse, repealing the 17th Amendment would not improve the U.S. Senate
Wendy J. Schiller Charles Stewart III The prevailing wisdom among opponents of the 17th Amendment, who range from Senator Mike Lee (R-UT)...
Matthew Green
- Sep 10, 2020
- 4 min
Want to take a shot at running for president? Try playing this board game.
1960: The Making of the President teaches some timeless lessons about modern campaign tactics and strategy.
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