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MISCHIEFS OF FACTION
Reflections on Parties and Their Place in Politics
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The Staff
Nov 4, 20204 min read
Was There Partisan Bias in the Local Administration of the 2020 Elections?
An experiment found election officials were usually unbiased, but some Republican officials provided more information to Republican voters.
The Staff
Nov 2, 20206 min read
A Global Perspective on Predicting the 2020 Election
By Stefan Wojcik, Ryan Kennedy, and David Lazer The US has never had an election like this before--but other countries have. Comparative...
Seth Masket
Oct 29, 20203 min read
The View "on the Ground"
Stories of what's happening "on the ground" are very useful at telling us what we want to hear.
The Staff
Oct 27, 20204 min read
Four out of Five Electoral Experts are Concerned about a Peaceful Transfer of Power
Experts see a high likelihood of unrest following the election, based on the Comparative Assessment of Electoral Risks (CAER).
The Staff
Oct 27, 202011 min read
Candidates, Campaigns, and Fundamentals in 2020
Julia Azari and Seth Masket discuss what 2020 has taught us about candidates, campaigns, and fundamentals.
Seth Masket
Oct 23, 20204 min read
For Democrats, There Is No Margin Big Enough To Sleep Well
2016 was traumatizing for many Democrats, who won't trust a polling lead again for years to come
The Staff
Oct 22, 20205 min read
On Sunday, Bolivian Democracy Took a Big Step Toward Stability
Sunday's election signals that Bolivia’s democracy has pulled back from the brink. Responsible elites on right and left share the credit.
The Staff
Oct 22, 20205 min read
The Comedic Stylings of Donald J. Trump
One of the remarkable aspects of Trump’s rhetorical style is that he thinks he’s funny. What explains Trump’s attempt at humor?
Jennifer N. Victor
Oct 20, 20208 min read
But really, why should you believe in elections?
When elections are administered fairly, we agree to accept their outcomes out of a sense of faith, determination, and social contract.
The Staff
Oct 19, 20206 min read
Can this New Yorker Become Pennsylvania's Next U.S. Senator?
Donald Trump, Jr., could run for Pennsylvania's Senate seat. Here's what his carpetbagger campaign might look like.
Julia Azari
Oct 16, 20204 min read
Have the last four years disrupted politics? Yes and no.
Norms, normal, norm-breaking. These have been the buzzwords of the Trump era, describing the ways in which an unlikely presidential...
Seth Masket
Oct 13, 20204 min read
Black Lives Matter Protests and the Slow Boring of Hard Boards
A panel of scholars assesses what the Black Lives Matter movement has achieved during a summer like no other.
Matthew Green
Oct 13, 20204 min read
Will 2020 be a “wave” election?
Predictive models indicate that Democrats will do well in November -- but that doesn’t mean an election “wave” is coming.
The Staff
Oct 9, 20204 min read
In 2020, the Ground Game is All Trump
Democrats usually have more field offices than Republicans. That's been completely reversed in 2020, thanks to Covid.
The Staff
Oct 5, 20205 min read
What We Learned from Studying Yard Signs
Think yard signs don't affect politics? Think again.
Jennifer N. Victor
Sep 28, 20203 min read
What to expect in the first presidential debate of 2020: fireworks
The first debate of 2020 general election will occur Tuesday, September 29 and it is likely that millions of Americans will tune-in to...
Seth Masket
Sep 21, 20204 min read
Four things that could still affect the presidential race but probably won't
Could the economy, a vaccine, debates, or a SCOTUS nomination change the race? Maybe, but don't count on it.
Matthew Green
Sep 17, 20204 min read
The Freedom Caucus won't remove Speaker Pelosi. But the attempt could still be significant.
The plan underscores the Caucus' support for Trump – and how a recent rule change may make the Speakership more partisan.
Gregory Koger
Sep 14, 20204 min read
No, Ben Sasse, repealing the 17th Amendment would not improve the U.S. Senate
Wendy J. Schiller Charles Stewart III The prevailing wisdom among opponents of the 17th Amendment, who range from Senator Mike Lee (R-UT)...
Matthew Green
Sep 10, 20204 min read
Want to take a shot at running for president? Try playing this board game.
1960: The Making of the President teaches some timeless lessons about modern campaign tactics and strategy.
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