Seth Masket
A Really Rough Forecast for Democrats. Probably.
Democrats are completely screwed or maybe not depending on what economic measure you use.
MISCHIEFS OF FACTION
Reflections on Parties and Their Place in Politics
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The Staff
District pork or Trump loyalty? West Virginia primary shows what Republican voters value most.
By Jeffrey Lazarus and Jennifer Victor Which matters more in Republican electoral politics today–loyalty to Trump or loyalty to...
Do congressional party platforms matter?
Election-year minority party agendas are important, but not for the reasons most people think.
Trump’s unusual endorsement game
Trump’s atypical approach to endorsing election candidates shows who his endorsements are really for: himself.
The continuing war against Liz Cheney
Why did GOP leaders commit the risky move of endorsing Cheney’s primary challenger? And what does it tell us about the GOP?
Seth Masket
An Early Midterm Forecast
A reasonable guess is that Democrats will lose around 25 House seats in 2022. But there's a lot of uncertainty in that model.
Why both political parties care so much about Virginia
Politicians want to know what next year’s elections will bring – and create a narrative that helps them in those elections.