Seth Masket
The Worst Legacy of January 6th - Making Insurrection Partisan
The legacy of Jan 6th, like Covid, didn't need to be partisan but has nonetheless become so, making it all the harder to deal with.
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MISCHIEFS OF FACTION
Reflections on Parties and Their Place in Politics
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Matthew Green
- Sep 22, 2021
- 4 min
Are Democrats retaliating against Republicans who voted to undo the 2020 election?
Inter-party punishments for the events of January 6th may be less widespread than they seem.
Matthew Green
- Jan 12, 2021
- 5 min
From freedom to sedition
How the House Freedom Caucus abandoned its constitutional conservatism and led an effort to subvert the 2020 presidential election.
Matthew Green
- Jan 7, 2021
- 4 min
A dark day
The violent attack on the U.S. Congress put a glaring spotlight on two disturbing features of contemporary American politics.
Matthew Green
- Dec 29, 2020
- 5 min
The politics of governing with a tiny majority
Nancy Pelosi and House Democrats will be tested by their party’s smaller size.
Seth Masket
- Dec 23, 2020
- 4 min
Lessons from 2020 (that I can't yet prove)
Some political lessons we can learn from 2020, even if we don't have all the evidence yet.
Matthew Green
- Dec 13, 2020
- 4 min
When ideology trumps democracy
Reelection concerns motivated many House Republicans to support the anti-democratic Texas lawsuit -- but ideology did too.
Seth Masket
- Dec 9, 2020
- 3 min
Trump Will Still Lead the GOP
Do not expect Trump's influence over the GOP to wane once he's out of office.
Seth Masket
- Dec 8, 2020
- 4 min
The Conversation Republicans Don’t Want to Have
The GOP needs to have a fight about whether Trump cost them the White House in 2020.
Seth Masket
- Nov 23, 2020
- 3 min
Trump's Achievement - The Complete Delegitimization of the Electoral College
By showing the abuses possible with the Electoral College, Trump has created a situation where both parties should want to kill it.
Seth Masket
- Nov 8, 2020
- 4 min
The Party of Self-Doubt
The winning party constructs narratives for a loss.
Jennifer N. Victor
- Nov 4, 2020
- 4 min
Democracy is failing. Here’s what to do about it.
Read the room. Forget about Biden and Trump for just a moment. Look around and take stock of what’s happening. Regardless of which...
The Staff
- Nov 2, 2020
- 6 min
A Global Perspective on Predicting the 2020 Election
By Stefan Wojcik, Ryan Kennedy, and David Lazer The US has never had an election like this before--but other countries have. Comparative...
Seth Masket
- Oct 29, 2020
- 3 min
The View "on the Ground"
Stories of what's happening "on the ground" are very useful at telling us what we want to hear.
The Staff
- Oct 27, 2020
- 4 min
Four out of Five Electoral Experts are Concerned about a Peaceful Transfer of Power
Experts see a high likelihood of unrest following the election, based on the Comparative Assessment of Electoral Risks (CAER).
The Staff
- Oct 27, 2020
- 11 min
Candidates, Campaigns, and Fundamentals in 2020
Julia Azari and Seth Masket discuss what 2020 has taught us about candidates, campaigns, and fundamentals.
Seth Masket
- Oct 23, 2020
- 4 min
For Democrats, There Is No Margin Big Enough To Sleep Well
2016 was traumatizing for many Democrats, who won't trust a polling lead again for years to come
Jennifer N. Victor
- Oct 21, 2020
- 8 min
But really, why should you believe in elections?
When elections are administered fairly, we agree to accept their outcomes out of a sense of faith, determination, and social contract.
Matthew Green
- Oct 13, 2020
- 4 min
Will 2020 be a “wave” election?
Predictive models indicate that Democrats will do well in November -- but that doesn’t mean an election “wave” is coming.
The Staff
- Oct 9, 2020
- 4 min
In 2020, the Ground Game is All Trump
Democrats usually have more field offices than Republicans. That's been completely reversed in 2020, thanks to Covid.
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