Matthew GreenJan 125 minFrom freedom to seditionHow the House Freedom Caucus abandoned its constitutional conservatism and led an effort to subvert the 2020 presidential election.
Matthew GreenJan 74 minA dark dayThe violent attack on the U.S. Congress put a glaring spotlight on two disturbing features of contemporary American politics.
Matthew GreenDec 29, 20205 minThe politics of governing with a tiny majorityNancy Pelosi and House Democrats will be tested by their party’s smaller size.
Seth MasketDec 23, 20204 minLessons from 2020 (that I can't yet prove)Some political lessons we can learn from 2020, even if we don't have all the evidence yet.
Matthew GreenDec 13, 20204 minWhen ideology trumps democracyReelection concerns motivated many House Republicans to support the anti-democratic Texas lawsuit -- but ideology did too.
Seth MasketDec 9, 20203 minTrump Will Still Lead the GOPDo not expect Trump's influence over the GOP to wane once he's out of office.
Seth MasketDec 8, 20204 minThe Conversation Republicans Don’t Want to HaveThe GOP needs to have a fight about whether Trump cost them the White House in 2020.
Seth MasketNov 23, 20203 minTrump's Achievement - The Complete Delegitimization of the Electoral CollegeBy showing the abuses possible with the Electoral College, Trump has created a situation where both parties should want to kill it.
Seth MasketNov 8, 20204 minThe Party of Self-DoubtThe winning party constructs narratives for a loss.
Jennifer N. VictorNov 4, 20204 minDemocracy is failing. Here’s what to do about it.Read the room. Forget about Biden and Trump for just a moment. Look around and take stock of what’s happening. Regardless of which...
The StaffNov 2, 20206 minA Global Perspective on Predicting the 2020 ElectionBy Stefan Wojcik, Ryan Kennedy, and David Lazer The US has never had an election like this before--but other countries have. Comparative...
Seth MasketOct 29, 20203 minThe View "on the Ground"Stories of what's happening "on the ground" are very useful at telling us what we want to hear.
The StaffOct 27, 20204 minFour out of Five Electoral Experts are Concerned about a Peaceful Transfer of PowerExperts see a high likelihood of unrest following the election, based on the Comparative Assessment of Electoral Risks (CAER).
The StaffOct 27, 202011 minCandidates, Campaigns, and Fundamentals in 2020Julia Azari and Seth Masket discuss what 2020 has taught us about candidates, campaigns, and fundamentals.
Seth MasketOct 23, 20204 minFor Democrats, There Is No Margin Big Enough To Sleep Well2016 was traumatizing for many Democrats, who won't trust a polling lead again for years to come
Jennifer N. VictorOct 21, 20208 minBut really, why should you believe in elections?When elections are administered fairly, we agree to accept their outcomes out of a sense of faith, determination, and social contract.
Matthew GreenOct 13, 20204 minWill 2020 be a “wave” election?Predictive models indicate that Democrats will do well in November -- but that doesn’t mean an election “wave” is coming.
The StaffOct 9, 20204 minIn 2020, the Ground Game is All TrumpDemocrats usually have more field offices than Republicans. That's been completely reversed in 2020, thanks to Covid.
Seth MasketSep 21, 20204 minFour things that could still affect the presidential race but probably won'tCould the economy, a vaccine, debates, or a SCOTUS nomination change the race? Maybe, but don't count on it.
Matthew GreenSep 10, 20204 minWant to take a shot at running for president? Try playing this board game.1960: The Making of the President teaches some timeless lessons about modern campaign tactics and strategy.
