The StaffOct 27, 202011 minCandidates, Campaigns, and Fundamentals in 2020Julia Azari and Seth Masket discuss what 2020 has taught us about candidates, campaigns, and fundamentals.
Seth MasketOct 23, 20204 minFor Democrats, There Is No Margin Big Enough To Sleep Well2016 was traumatizing for many Democrats, who won't trust a polling lead again for years to come
The StaffOct 22, 20205 minOn Sunday, Bolivian Democracy Took a Big Step Toward StabilitySunday's election signals that Bolivia’s democracy has pulled back from the brink. Responsible elites on right and left share the credit.
The StaffOct 22, 20205 minThe Comedic Stylings of Donald J. TrumpOne of the remarkable aspects of Trump’s rhetorical style is that he thinks he’s funny. What explains Trump’s attempt at humor?
Jennifer N. VictorOct 21, 20208 minBut really, why should you believe in elections?When elections are administered fairly, we agree to accept their outcomes out of a sense of faith, determination, and social contract.
The StaffOct 19, 20206 minCan this New Yorker Become Pennsylvania's Next U.S. Senator?Donald Trump, Jr., could run for Pennsylvania's Senate seat. Here's what his carpetbagger campaign might look like.
Julia AzariOct 16, 20204 minHave the last four years disrupted politics? Yes and no. Norms, normal, norm-breaking. These have been the buzzwords of the Trump era, describing the ways in which an unlikely presidential...
Seth MasketOct 13, 20204 minBlack Lives Matter Protests and the Slow Boring of Hard BoardsA panel of scholars assesses what the Black Lives Matter movement has achieved during a summer like no other.
Matthew GreenOct 13, 20204 minWill 2020 be a “wave” election?Predictive models indicate that Democrats will do well in November -- but that doesn’t mean an election “wave” is coming.
The StaffOct 9, 20204 minIn 2020, the Ground Game is All TrumpDemocrats usually have more field offices than Republicans. That's been completely reversed in 2020, thanks to Covid.
The StaffOct 5, 20205 minWhat We Learned from Studying Yard SignsThink yard signs don't affect politics? Think again.
Jennifer N. VictorSep 28, 20203 minWhat to expect in the first presidential debate of 2020: fireworksThe first debate of 2020 general election will occur Tuesday, September 29 and it is likely that millions of Americans will tune-in to...
Seth MasketSep 21, 20204 minFour things that could still affect the presidential race but probably won'tCould the economy, a vaccine, debates, or a SCOTUS nomination change the race? Maybe, but don't count on it.
Matthew GreenSep 17, 20204 minThe Freedom Caucus won't remove Speaker Pelosi. But the attempt could still be significant.The plan underscores the Caucus' support for Trump – and how a recent rule change may make the Speakership more partisan.
Gregory KogerSep 14, 20204 minNo, Ben Sasse, repealing the 17th Amendment would not improve the U.S. SenateWendy J. Schiller Charles Stewart III The prevailing wisdom among opponents of the 17th Amendment, who range from Senator Mike Lee (R-UT)...
Matthew GreenSep 10, 20204 minWant to take a shot at running for president? Try playing this board game.1960: The Making of the President teaches some timeless lessons about modern campaign tactics and strategy.
The StaffAug 26, 20209 minThe Impact of the 19th AmendmentWomen's suffrage wasn't everything its detractors warned or its proponents promised, but it has had profound effects on the past century.
Seth MasketAug 24, 20204 minThe Party AbidesThe Republican Party concedes that reelecting Trump is not just its chief goal, but its only goal
Julia AzariAug 12, 20205 minHarris is the veep pick. What does it tell us about party politics? by Julia Azari and William D. Adler (cross-posted at ahousedividedapd.com) After one of the longest and most visible Veepstakes periods...
Seth MasketJul 30, 20204 minDo Really, Really Bad GDP Numbers Mean a Really, Really Bad November for Trump? Well...The economy shrank by 9.5 points in the 2nd quarter. That's really bad, but can we forecast the vote from it?
