Seth MasketNov 23, 20203 minTrump's Achievement - The Complete Delegitimization of the Electoral CollegeBy showing the abuses possible with the Electoral College, Trump has created a situation where both parties should want to kill it.
Amy Erica SmithNov 20, 20204 minAnti-democratic 💩 happens. Is it a coup? *In which the author ponders a better vocabulary to describe authoritarian power grabs. Amy Erica Smith A funny thing keeps happening. It...
The StaffNov 13, 20205 minWho will lead the House Democratic Party?A lowdown on upcoming races for leadership posts in the U.S. House -- and why the speakership isn’t among them.
Julia AzariNov 10, 20204 minFor 4 years I've written that Trump was a disjunctive leader. Now I'm not so sure. (photo credit: Ted Eytan) The 2020 election has, for the most part, concluded, and we’ve entered the phase where, as anticipated, the...
Seth MasketNov 8, 20204 minThe Party of Self-DoubtThe winning party constructs narratives for a loss.
Jennifer N. VictorNov 4, 20204 minDemocracy is failing. Here’s what to do about it.Read the room. Forget about Biden and Trump for just a moment. Look around and take stock of what’s happening. Regardless of which...
The StaffNov 4, 20204 minWas There Partisan Bias in the Local Administration of the 2020 Elections? An experiment found election officials were usually unbiased, but some Republican officials provided more information to Republican voters.
The StaffNov 2, 20206 minA Global Perspective on Predicting the 2020 ElectionBy Stefan Wojcik, Ryan Kennedy, and David Lazer The US has never had an election like this before--but other countries have. Comparative...
Seth MasketOct 29, 20203 minThe View "on the Ground"Stories of what's happening "on the ground" are very useful at telling us what we want to hear.
The StaffOct 27, 20204 minFour out of Five Electoral Experts are Concerned about a Peaceful Transfer of PowerExperts see a high likelihood of unrest following the election, based on the Comparative Assessment of Electoral Risks (CAER).
The StaffOct 27, 202011 minCandidates, Campaigns, and Fundamentals in 2020Julia Azari and Seth Masket discuss what 2020 has taught us about candidates, campaigns, and fundamentals.
Seth MasketOct 23, 20204 minFor Democrats, There Is No Margin Big Enough To Sleep Well2016 was traumatizing for many Democrats, who won't trust a polling lead again for years to come
The StaffOct 22, 20205 minOn Sunday, Bolivian Democracy Took a Big Step Toward StabilitySunday's election signals that Bolivia’s democracy has pulled back from the brink. Responsible elites on right and left share the credit.
The StaffOct 22, 20205 minThe Comedic Stylings of Donald J. TrumpOne of the remarkable aspects of Trump’s rhetorical style is that he thinks he’s funny. What explains Trump’s attempt at humor?
Jennifer N. VictorOct 21, 20208 minBut really, why should you believe in elections?When elections are administered fairly, we agree to accept their outcomes out of a sense of faith, determination, and social contract.
The StaffOct 19, 20206 minCan this New Yorker Become Pennsylvania's Next U.S. Senator?Donald Trump, Jr., could run for Pennsylvania's Senate seat. Here's what his carpetbagger campaign might look like.
Julia AzariOct 16, 20204 minHave the last four years disrupted politics? Yes and no. Norms, normal, norm-breaking. These have been the buzzwords of the Trump era, describing the ways in which an unlikely presidential...
Seth MasketOct 13, 20204 minBlack Lives Matter Protests and the Slow Boring of Hard BoardsA panel of scholars assesses what the Black Lives Matter movement has achieved during a summer like no other.
Matthew GreenOct 13, 20204 minWill 2020 be a “wave” election?Predictive models indicate that Democrats will do well in November -- but that doesn’t mean an election “wave” is coming.
The StaffOct 9, 20204 minIn 2020, the Ground Game is All TrumpDemocrats usually have more field offices than Republicans. That's been completely reversed in 2020, thanks to Covid.
