Reflections on Parties and Their Place in Politics

The Case for Covering Bernie Differently

Sanders has significant strengths, but may have a harder time than other candidates in translating those into a majority of delegates.

Approval ratings and vote shares

Using approval ratings to predict vote shares finds that the odds are difficult for Trump's reelection, but not prohibitive.

When Trump’s coattails just weren't enough

In the recent KY-GOV race, Bevin only won among Trump supporters, while Beshear made inroads among various parts of the population.